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标题: [转贴] 海阔天空的观点 [打印本页]

作者: 棋王    时间: 2011-3-18 17:33     标题: 海阔天空的观点

the smartest trades they did today was: selling techs and buy finacials for Div.
almost 90% of banks approved to pay div 100-200% more
for example 1million jpm shares will get 250,000 Div for next 2-3 months.
if you hold tech, you get nothing, and take risk on down side.

Banks will pay those smartest people (funds) while those people(funds) hide their assets.

Today's banks' announcement and mkt money flow action tells us, techs will not have any chance and not worth to hold, and AAPL, etc 100+ tech stocks are likely will keep selling down to their 200ma if not yet there, like AAPL 200ma is 300, and current support is 320.

if look for short, short techs. if look for trades, go for commodities. do not short financials

烦请Q姐以后能单独开个主题,阐明看法,俺帮您置顶。
谢谢!
作者: 海阔天空    时间: 2011-3-20 02:02

谢谢棋猫猫

Last Friday 是真的MoneyFlow into high Div banker to hide assets for next 2-3 months. so I do not expect mkt go to moon soon, Bulls have to wait.
(1) do not short financials
(2) DT or 1-2 day holding to trade commodity FCX, ANR, BTU, CLF/X, MOS/POT, etc High beta stocks,long and short.
(3) Bulls stay away from high tech
(4) hedge funds could be very possible dump high priced tech stocks CRM, AAPL, NFLX, etc if situation gets worse.
作者: not4weak    时间: 2011-3-20 10:10

Thanks.
A question: if high tech is dumped, then the market can't hold just with the financial alone.
作者: ctcld    时间: 2011-3-20 10:33

如果日核危机解除,HIGH TECH会报复性反弹。日本重建是动力。
作者: 海阔天空    时间: 2011-3-20 11:04

日核危机解除? 看看老秋贴的电影, 从爆炸到石棺,花了多少时间?

喝得水里有辐射,能在几天里解除?

Large Funds 一旦离开,一般不会再一个月之内回来, 况且人家已经把assets躲到HIGH DIV stock 里去了,小吧啦子股民成不了啥大气候。

下星期低点之后会有反弹, 但反转新高,还没到时间。
作者: ctcld    时间: 2011-3-20 12:05

没有核爆炸,就没有大量核泄漏。没有大量核泄漏,就没有市场恐慌。
作者: 海阔天空    时间: 2011-3-20 12:30

没有到恐慌, 就还没有到底
作者: ctcld    时间: 2011-3-20 12:33

你去跟踪一下VIX和XJY就知道趋势了。
作者: 海阔天空    时间: 2011-3-20 12:42

;-)

任何 Intervention 只有延缓,不能改变它应该去的地方。

打算打持久战吧,FX intervention 没有那么简单

JPY 上2次的Intervention有用吗?




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