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标题: [技术分析] STOCKS HOLD UP AS EURO SINKS TO NEW LOWS [打印本页]

作者: 棋王 时间: 2012-1-12 00:36 标题: STOCKS HOLD UP AS EURO SINKS TO NEW LOWS

本帖最后由棋王于 2012-1-11 23:41 编辑

The Euro Currency Trust (FXE) and the S&P 500 were positively correlated throughout most of 2011. This positive correlation was especially strong the last six months as the Correlation Coefficient spent most of its time in positive territory. This positive relationship turned negative in 2012. Chart shows the Euro Currency Trust opening above 130 the first trading day of the year and moving below 127 today. FXE is down almost 2% year-to-date. In contrast to the Euro, the S&P 500 is up around 2.5% year-to-date. As a result of these divergent moves, the Correlation Coefficient (FXE,$SPX) moved below -.50 for the first time since June. Prior bouts of negative correlation occurred in February-March and June.
Either something gives or the market dynamics are changing. Chart shows the S&P 500 moving above its 200-day moving average to start the year. The ability to break this key moving average when the Euro is moving lower shows strength. Stocks are rallying in the face of a prior adversity. Put another way, stocks are going up on bad news. The October trendline and rising 50-day SMA mark first support around 1240.

图片附件: fxe.png (2012-1-12 00:33, 33.77 KB) / 下载次数 4
http://huarenv5.com/forum/attachment.php?aid=528497&k=c263ebf759d2f9a9bbeeb2878c3baafd&t=1728083306&sid=SlCzBd

图片附件: spx.png (2012-1-12 00:33, 37.39 KB) / 下载次数 3
http://huarenv5.com/forum/attachment.php?aid=528498&k=21755ab8be79d03907af168f8a9843cb&t=1728083306&sid=SlCzBd

作者: 棋王 时间: 2012-1-12 00:49

UTILITIES AND CONSUMER STAPLES SECTORS SHUNNED IN 2012... The S&P Sector Market Carpet below shows average performance for the stocks in the nine sectors. The industrials sector is leading with an average gain of 3.0%. This means the average stock in the industrials sector is up 3% in the last seven trading days. The consumer discretionary, technology, finance and materials sectors are also showing good gains. These sectors with strongest gains have the greenest boxes. While six of the nine sectors show strength in 2012, the average stock is down in three of the nine sectors. Notice that the utilities and energy sectors are pink-red because the average stock is down 1.2%. The average stock in the consumer staples sector is also down (-.5% on average). There is a clear move away from two defensive sectors in 2012 (utilities and consumer staples). On the flip side, money is moving into the offensive sectors, such as finance, technology, consumer discretionary and industrials. The appetite for risk has been healthy so far in 2012

图片附件: pic.png (2012-1-12 00:49, 64.5 KB) / 下载次数 7
http://huarenv5.com/forum/attachment.php?aid=528503&k=7cc2d658684a60a69842247073ad4b3e&t=1728083306&sid=SlCzBd

作者: tfmegatron 时间: 2012-1-12 00:52

大盘完了，这7天比去年一年涨的都多，多头火力分布都暴露了，厚厚，KA KA。。。

作者: 蓉儿 时间: 2012-1-12 00:54

垃圾横飞，，，鸡犬升天，，，很不正常

作者: 棋王 时间: 2012-1-12 00:56

大盘涨的很健康,想要现在跌,天时,地利,人和都不配合.....

作者: 棋王 时间: 2012-1-12 00:58

其实很多大空头都在盼4,5月份暴跌......

作者: tfmegatron 时间: 2012-1-12 00:59

大盘涨的很健康,想要现在跌,天时,地利,人和都不配合.....
棋王发表于 2012-1-11 23:56

好吧，现在没跌，你们底气足，，，等到跌了，我们再来辩论。。。

作者: 蓉儿 时间: 2012-1-12 00:59

回复 5# 棋王

会的，别急，，，会跌的让牛牛们哭死的，跌的让牛牛们找不到墙去撞的，否则真不知道大熊的厉害。。。

作者: 蓉儿 时间: 2012-1-12 01:01

这些暴涨的垃圾股，多少人都等着解套呢，或者多少人抱着美滋滋的做梦再来个30%就撤退呢～～～到时候，一个 gap down 就站岗半年多。。。。。。。。。。

作者: 棋王 时间: 2012-1-12 01:02

回复 7# tfmegatron

俺有啥底气,俺是空头,已经踏空了,现在靠DT垃圾来弥补损失。

作者: 棋王 时间: 2012-1-12 01:03

回复 8# 蓉儿

俺也希望啊。。。。。唉。。。。。

作者: 蓉儿 时间: 2012-1-12 01:04

就像去年10几块钱捞底 BAC 垃圾的傻牛们，到今天都没出来呢，垃圾就是垃圾，永无翻身之日。。。

作者: tfmegatron 时间: 2012-1-12 01:04

K，原来都是自己人啊。。。

作者: 蓉儿 时间: 2012-1-12 01:06

还有去年玩太阳能的傻牛，当初劝他们别碰这泡沫垃圾，不听啊。。。我没看见过赚钱的，都是割肉的，，，今天反弹了一些还好意思高兴呢，好了伤疤忘了疼。。。

作者: 棋王 时间: 2012-1-12 01:12

回复 14# 蓉儿

俺今天手痒DT了一把太阳能。。。。。

现在只能寻找优质股，，，，，，可能地产几个今年应该不错，小威都列了不少。

作者: tfmegatron 时间: 2012-1-12 01:16

回复蓉儿

俺今天手痒DT了一把太阳能。。。。。

现在只能寻找优质股，，，，，，可能地产 ...
棋王发表于 2012-1-12 00:12

我只是担心覆巢之下，没有完卵，，，如果下一个cycle是down的话，现在还是不敢建战略多仓。。。

作者: 蓉儿 时间: 2012-1-12 01:25

我只是担心覆巢之下，没有完卵，，，如果下一个cycle是down的话，现在还是不敢建战略多仓。。。
tfmegatron 发表于 2012-1-12 00:16

这句话我都这样说：鸡窝翻了，还有好蛋吗？

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