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http://www.smartmoneytracker.blo ... -of-why-i-have.html


“As I have been warning traders for months the dollar's rally out of its three year cycle low almost certainly isn't done yet. The rally out of a three year cycle low usually lasts at least a year, and that's the norm in a secular bear market. Since the three year cycle low bottomed in May of 2011 it's unlikely that we would see a final top until at least May of this year. And since the three year cycle low in 2011 held above the three year cycle low that occurred in 2008, there is even a case to be made that the dollar has now entered a secular bull market.”

所以GARY认为美元起码能涨到5月。
会不会今年股市的走法跟我2/29日贴的图很象?即调整到5月底,然后再大涨。
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http://stockcharts.com/def/servl ... 926808&cmd=show[s195633002]&disp=O

总的来看,美元中长期走势还不错,尤其是79附近能守住的话。
殴州的问题应该还会发酵一阵子,对应着让股市调一调。

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http://stockcharts.com/def/servl ... 660602&cmd=show[s191974221]&disp=O
http://stockcharts.com/def/servl ... 400916&cmd=show[s232049822]&disp=O

$NYSI和$NAA50R都表示要调整,没有象样调整前,我当然不会战略做多。
继续连续小步涨不是没有可能,但我宁可放弃这样的可能,避免承担大风险。

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http://www.yayabay.com/forum/thread-186310-1-1.html

上次FED日我的CPC/CPCE论还是不错地。
这次CPC/CPCE还是涨但不如上次突出,所以可能行情不大。

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更新一下2月14日的贴,当时我说“一旦XLF和BKX有突破,其效应也极大。”
昨天XLF(突破15)和BKX(突破47)都有大进展,值得关注。

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http://www.finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=ZB

国债走势的确差。
30年债125大概跑不掉。

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不晓得能不能加BAC
~心宽灵深爱永远~
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