oldhorse

http://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/?iid=SF_INV_FG
came down now，87.

oldhorse

这么说现在看牛的还是不占大多数
黄金奇异果 发表于 2014-7-3 21:36

所以还要长的面大。

oldhorse

股市还要继续涨下去，下周应该破1990，向2000挑战。
不到萧条牛市不会回头。
短期调整看1950，bet it holds。
buy the dips if it happens。

oldhorse

rut has some resistance here, it would build a double top if it were not to break it.
watch closely, bet it shoot over.

oldhorse

这个 看上去好超买啊。 RSI 那么高
黄金奇异果 发表于 2014-7-6 19:09

    超买的可能会更超卖。看看前些日子energy涨幅你就知道了，超买，so what 接着超买。

oldhorse

Ma Da Da,
Any updates on the overall market, QIHU and SINA?
qzhou3 发表于 2014-7-8 17:45

个人认为今天大盘已经到达短期底部，1960，后面应该开始反弹.
盘后aa er beat，是好消息。er期间历来很难有大跌，今后几天我觉得该是1950-1980的盘整。

大盘其实没跌多少， 让人担心的是今天rut sell off 太强大了，很多高风险股票回零，比如feye，nvax 我昨天今天都抄底的，结果居然都没抄到底，接着跌，还有grpn等。同样的中该股全面大幅度下滑，qihu，sina，yoku    等。
但我觉得overdone 了， amy也这么看， 所以我也买了tna 在76.

明天预计rut全面反弹，今天抄底的都会收益。
中概股可以拿着，等下一波，会回来的，这个幅度跌是与er背离的庄家行为，就像当， 打下去再拉回来。

耐心，大盘没到崩的时候，至少要看到一半公司的er。

oldhorse

今天这个跌主要是爱美喊的，没啥原因。
欧债危机又不是一天两天了，借口而已。
rut双顶技术上就是有危险， 好比雪崩，本来其实也不一定崩的，有人玩命一喊，声波就触动了雪崩。
1950 hold 就好。

oldhorse

1950破了的话，下一个1920.

oldhorse

今早这个gap 我也没想到。虽然我知道 gap down 但没想到gap down 这么多。

幸好昨天吧call 都抛了。万幸 ...
zhangamy 发表于 2014-7-10 12:12

thanks, the bounce is very strong and i bought tna this morning.
still think 1950 will hold and we go up from here again

oldhorse

it might have been a great bear trap this morning, if not,  we are heading to 1920.
close above 1970 today will send bears packing and a short squeeze tomorrow.

oldhorse

今天太戏剧化了， 再来几次这样的，心脏就呜呼了

oldhorse

破1970，明天1980，后天1990.

oldhorse

still believe we are heading to 2000 if we can hold 1960 for a few days and never break 1950.
short term, 1950 should hold.

I started add ing hedging though, will increase to 10% and maybe 20% as I watched pre-market which was much uglier and dangerous than regular market, it really looked like the sky was falling.

oldhorse

today is really a proof ,the market is hard to go down.
evrey time it dips, buyers come in to save it, the actions on Thursday should be perfect for bears to follow through, but bears failed it.

now it should be cautious though, as margin money is too much which could trig an avalanche.

play bulls market but with hedging:
puts and inverse indexes, 2 or 3 times.

oldhorse

Ma Da Da,
Where is FB going? Is there a price target to sell half? Many thanks!
qzhou3 发表于 2014-7-14 11:34

    中长线都不错， 68站住了有望挑战前高。
看多少钱进的了，70-71可以卖一半。