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[讨论] Shall bears surrender now?

please give your reasons why not?
不投降就地被挤死
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因为希望总留给明天


please give your reasons why not?
oldhorse 发表于 2014-5-2 22:09
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to answer this question, more questions be thrown out first.
本帖最后由 oldhorse 于 2014-5-3 21:09 编辑

does Nasdaq really lag sp500?
from one year chart,no;
6 months, yes.

is nasdaq truly indicative of the market?
se chart yourself, the answer is no.
本帖最后由 oldhorse 于 2014-5-3 21:05 编辑

what about RUT?
does it tell us anything we don't know?

although rut is lagging now, it did catch-up a few times before, it may very well do it all over again.
本帖最后由 oldhorse 于 2014-5-3 21:19 编辑

and any technical indicators showiing where the market is marching?
MACD is still in a bullish trend;
RSI appears a bit higher than neutral.
however, BB is narrowing which tells widening is gonna happen sooner or later, we just don't know which direction yet while the middle line is saying up.
Has money flown into safe heaven stock?
yes
本帖最后由 oldhorse 于 2014-5-3 21:25 编辑

has the market abandoned growths stocks?
yes.
is vix close to 52 weeks low?
yes., soon we will get that point.
本帖最后由 oldhorse 于 2014-5-3 21:26 编辑

how about the problem child, ukrine?

very short term, it will drive vix up, but that's as much as it can do.
having a war is good news for stock market.
the more problems in the world, the better usa.
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TLT shows divergence indeed.
1)now, I think the market is going sideways with ultimately bullish trend, i.e. would be higher until we have recession, which was said by the guy on MW.
10% correction is mission impossible in near future.

2)hold my short position and get out of it whenever having a chance.

3)play long or short on individual stocks and forget about the market trend.
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回复 13# oldhorse

The ultimate goal is SPX 2000?
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回复 12# oldhorse

I got excited this weekend that my bond holding generated a relatively biggest YTD return than others sectors in my small portfolio. My previous similar agitation usually marked a topping sign according to pure experience.   
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